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Showing posts with label Future. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Future. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 1, 2007

World gone crazy...

I haven't had time to update the blog for a while for 2 reasons. For fist, I have really too much schoolwork as the exam dates are coming closer and closer and for second reason - the riots - which is todays subject.

Normally I wont put my nose into politics. I just really don't trust politicians. No matter how good or believable they are. Usually the smoothest politicians are the worst - they have the deepest and the extremest ideas. Extreme does not always mean a bad thing but usually it is hidden until the minister is in place to fulfill hes/her ideas. Besides every politician has their secret agenda no matter how honest - everyone wants to get rich.

As usually I'm getting ahead of myself. The problem started around a year ago when the government started to theorized around moving a monument from the center of Tallinn to a cemetery in the suburbs. For what reason I cant remember and I don't care really... The monument was in honor of the soviet soldiers who fought off the Nazi soldiers. As history was never my favorite subject I don't remember exactly nor do I believe a history written in times of CCCR times (the history was always rewritten to emphasize the goodness of Soviet Union). So for whatever reason the monument was created or for whatever reason it was a good idea to move it - I don't care.

Estonia's population is around 1.4 million people of which 0.4million are russians. W have been tolerant of the russian population, we have adopted some admissions to out constitution to allow the russian community to work with us. As out national language is Estonian, we still have a bilingual society (Estonian and Russian). We have granted special privileges to some areas in our country to allow legal papers to be entered in Russian, as most of the people living there are native russian peaking people. They have had time for around 16 years to learn even basic Estonian, but around 40% of the russians (and yes I mean those people living here and who are not speaking even a word of Estonian - starting from this point I refer to those with lower capital letter as they really are not russians nor do they try to be Estonians) don't speak even basic Estonian. In our constitution we have set the Estonian language as our national language, but usually trying to argue with a russian in Estonian you will fail ad they will give you an empty glare "What jiberis are you going about now - speak Russian as this is the only thing we understand". This is with the elder 35+ people... With the younger ones there is a rift between - some who try (usually with high school/university education level) and some who don't give a Frell (elementary school or below level of education). Of course there are exceptions in both. When I have had guests from other countries and they have heard me talk in Estonian and my coworker speak Russian they have had interesting time learning the basics :) Usually businessmen men also speaks pretty good Estonian and at least 1 other forging language, so I have no quarrel with them - good job I say!

Well back to the unrest. This is the first time In Estonia that we have huge (in our population terms) mobs of people running amok in the city, trashing things, breaking into shops, stealing stuff, turning cars upside down and setting fires to the shops and the stuff stolen from them. This is the First time in 16 years from when we got our independence.

The events started Friday 26.03.07 as the government started to prepare to move the statue. The mobs started to gather in the dig site and the police sent more policemen to guard the site. The mobs got bigger and bigger... Soon the mobs started to get controlled by an russian extremist group called "Öine Vahtkond" (Night Guard in translation) and they started to wind up the people there. It did not take too long until the shouting started. Soon came the confrontations with the police as the regular russians started to get influenced by the extremist and the emotions ran wild. The normal people got turned against each other and the police. The government decided to send the "riot police" troops to the premises (not into the crowd but the premises of the dig site). The extremist took it as an sign that the mobs could be divided into smaller groups and they would loose their grip over the already emotional people, so they started to agitate the people to penetrate the police barrier. At the beginning it was just a simple word fight but soon it became a small hassle as some of the people started to try physically penetrate the barrier. The police tried at the beginning to do what they know how to do best - try to stop the penetration attempts. Stopping the people trying to run through the barrier. They didn't use any unnecessary force nor did they beat or even arrest the runners. This was enough for the extremist to take the last step - they started to agitate people to the police by forcing on idea that the police are brutalizing the people and they should retaliate. I don't know who threw the first stone - the extremists or the common people - but this started a chain of events that no one didn't expect.

This would have been the turning point where the police could have stopped everything if they only would have sent in the riot troops to dissipate the mobs one by one but they didn't. The riot troops were put in front of the regular police to protect them as they had the special gear to protect them self from falling stones, bottles, what ever else was at hand to throw at them. There they stood for around 3 hours and took the beating. This made the crowd feel like a superior force and no consequences would come to them if they would storm the policemen. Here the things got from worse to plain ugly. Feeling the superiority of the mass psychosis the bolder ones would start to storm the front. To their surprise the riot police stopped them at the tracks. Getting angry and frustrated by this the loads of rocks and bottles started to increase exponentially. This in the other hand created an unseen problem for the bystanders - as the police front created waves to push the marauders back and to keep a safe distance between then so they could not be stabbed for example, the chicken extremists started to throw the rocks from a longer distance and there fore around half of the objects thrown fell into the crowd. This of course heated up some more violence.

Now the politicians finally wake from their deep hibernation and give an order to use tear gas and water cannons to disperse the crowd. This is of course too little too late. The crowd had generated enough marauders from is peaceful bystanders to go into a rampage. Angried by the force used against them and the adrenaline from the experience they start to drift in to the direction of "Vabaduse Väljak" (Freedom square in translation) destroying shops and kiosks on their way. They are around 1km apart but there are 5 roads connecting them directly. 2 of them got blocked in time by the Police, but all shops in 3 of them got totally trashed. Not bad eh? Its only 20Mil EEK worth of stuff...

So eventually the mass psychosis ran out and the marauders ran out of things to break and loot, so the police finally started to make progress in arresting the perpetrators and by 5 in the morning most crowds had dissipated and went home to sleep it off. Saturday the extremist tried to organize another raid, but they could not get enough crowd in one place and the police used the necessary force to dissipate any big crowd from gathering and arresting the aggressive components. There is also good statistics of this also - first day the police only 300 people of around 20 000 because they were given the order to start aggressive arresting too late, on the other hand the premature arresting of 500 people bough down all the mobs so that they could not gather the strength needed to become marauders.

This comes to today Monday 30.04.07 - as there aren't enough bold extremists left to confront the police them self and the gathering of mobs generates fear in the normal people as they can be arrested. SO the masterminds thought up a plan to... hmm... slow down the cities traffic by using public forums to agitate russians to drive through the city with speed of 5km/h and blow the horn constantly. Well, this didn't last too long as it against the highway code and around 100 of these wannabe marauders were fined and some were arrested.

What surprised me was that most of the big news agencies each time got their story wrong...

These are the events as I saw them...

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Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Disappointed in Google...

Yea I know that the google search engine is great, Blogger is great, Gmail is great, Orkut is great - basically all the services are great. They just made few mistakes on the road to the greatness.

I know how much it takes to maintain huge systems, and I know that the most problems are started from the business side. Revenue is everything, so you always need to expand and create new products. I is hard to integrate different systems as they tend to have very different architecture.

I have survived several harvesting/infection attempts in Orkut - I admit they are a minor nuisance, but still, its an indication that something is broken. It may not be a problem of technology in essence, but the social engineering behind it. As people get more adept in scripting languages the patterns you need to create to suppress malicious use are getting too complex.

Bu this is not why I'm disappointed. The problem is one single decision that google made to increase the revenue with its gmail service. At the beginning the service was nice and pure - you had to be invited to join by a person. I know it is not really efficient nor failsafe against bot engines that would send up millions of invitations to them self, just to be able to send more spam. When one gets closed and the address banned the bot has several to spare.

I have pretty good filters to filter and classify spam to categories. The thing that pushed me over the line was 2 e-mails coming from the same gmail address with 1 hour interval - first was mail containing harvesting address and the second was mail inviting me to work as gmail address creator "Work from home filling forms".

Right - does anyone else see a problem here or am I alone?

How blunt do you have to be to work for the people who harvest your address or even infect you computer with spyware or trojans.


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Saturday, April 21, 2007

A step closer to interstellar travel...

Another nice gem was found in the wide space of Internet. It seems that the smart minds of NASA have started to come around to a technical solution that the SCFI world has known for ages. The simple concept of Deflector. There have been a lot of experiments consisting of generating, stabilizing and forming of plasma fields.

We still don't have the materials to create super strong alloys that would withstand the pressure or radiation gradients of open space but they are not that far away maybe few years of theory and another two to finalize the material generation.

Nor do we have the technology to get into the orbit efficiently. The best are ether hydrogen/oxygen or kerosene/peroxide rockets. Well in few years we should have the reusable crew vehicle, but still anti gravity is just a theory. There are some promising ideas - one of which is HexaLifter - its not a mature technology, nor is it a anti gravity device. Tho it could provide some interesting flight apparatus - well if we could create a light enough power reactor capable of putting out few gigawatt's of energy and would weight around 100kg.

When we get out to the orbit, getting to the next planet will be easier as we already possess the the ION Drive technology. Getting it to go faster wont be a problem.

The hull design could be HyFish as its very aerodynamic design and also because of its light weight. Also an plasma generator could be up on the nose part of the craft to make the ride smoother.

Mind condition: Hopeful wishing at full potential.

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Friday, April 20, 2007

Cure for the braindead...

Well almost. Brain death does not really mean a condition where the brain shuts down - it can also mean that the person is not smart. Well it seems the scientists can have a cure for that in a future. These gene factors can help to regenerate the brain enough to make it learn faster and put the knowledge into long term memory. As we use only 21% of out brain matter (well at least we thing we use - no one knows exactly) we have enough spare neurons to remap our "damaged" neurons. In theory this could fight against Alzheimer's and few more memory and learning disability's. I'm guessing that it will work on normal people also by increasing their memory and learning ability.

Now I understand how the characters in SCFI movies are so smart - they meed to learn some new technology, so they take a magic pill and read the book. Woala, instant intelligence :) So if you think we have a drug problem now, think what the masterminds of the future will think out (or are on). Next generation drug wars will not be fought on who get higher fast, but who gets smarter faster. I imagine the direct brain download isn't far behind, since the normal optical data assimilation is just soo damn slow...


Too bad the pills ain't out right now - would be nice to ace the math exam (I suck at math)

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Thursday, April 12, 2007

Space madness...

Looks like Bill Gates is finally starting to think out of the box - hes going into space:)

This is great that rich people spend some of their money on spaceflight. It could stimulate the space industry a little and maybe generate some new concepts of how to do it better and safer. It would be a hard blow to the companies ego to report to the public "We are sad to inform that the rocket/shuttle transporting Bill Gates to the ISS has exploded after takeoff". Some would be sad and the Linux people would rejoice (nothing personal Bill - its just business). Well, to think of the past, when bill was head of Microsoft security was nonexistent but at least the release schedule was kept strictly by the numbers...

This makes me wonder - when will NASA send the last (14?) peaces of the ISS up to orbit? I know that there should have been a lot of science modules, but how about sending a nice motel up there? As there have been 5 civilians up there and possibly more to follow. Also they could put a nice herbonics bay in place - the astro-/kosmo-/taikonauts need their daily vitamins also and where else can you grow 100kg melons (ok ok Chernobyl does not count as you would glow green the rest of the life).

As I have not been in space I really cant comment on what to do better (I can at least dream of it :) ) but when I will go I would expect a nice motel, good food, nice beverages and some more room. I could not imagine bouncing around in a 2 by 2 barrel all day looking at the blue sphere that is the earth. It will be interesting for about 2 hours total - 1 for day time and the second for night time, so what I'm supposed to do the rest 2+ days?

PS! Anyone willing to loan me 130M $USD for a trip to the ISS and a spin around the moon? :) Ill pay You back in 10k years - I promise. ;)

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Wednesday, April 11, 2007

When the SCFI and the present collide...

I was reading news today and found a nice little pearl about possible next gen (space?)flight hull design. The company is SmartFish and the future looks pretty nice :) The company looks to revolutionize the flight industry with new concepts, but I'm thinking in a bigger scale. When I first time saw the conceptual image of this design the first thing that popped into my mind was "Hey I have seen it before".

So I tried to remember where I have seen it - it was from an episode of an Star Trek Voyager episode. In that episode they designed their new shuttle and their basic holodeck conceptional model looked pretty close to HyFish. I tried to look for the image in the net but the closest I could come to a sideways image was this. It isn't the right image, but if you can watch the episode of "ST Voyager: Extreme Risk" (by this source) I'm sure You can see the similarities. A Mimbari from on of the Babylon 5 movies once said "Put a big enough engine on a flying brick and you get a starship" so the atmospheric rules don't apply in space :) The HyFish model looks a lot nicer than the Delta Fayer, but hey it lacks a warp drive, Borg weapons, teleporters, antigrav, antimatter core, unimatrix shields and who knows what else...

Back to real life. The design is sleek, but I can see some limitations with it. First is its wing span - its pretty small, witch means it cant carry a lot of weight and has to travel at high speeds. This is not really a drawback, but still if the landing gear cant properly retract on takeoff it will be guaranteed to crash thanks to the aerodynamic turbulence pushing the tail upwards and therefore making it nosedive in the runway. The same gos for landing - opening the landing gear bays will generate a lot of turbulence and possibly instability. The second thing is the large cockpit window (at least I'm assuming that is the black part). On high speeds (possibly exceeding march points) the pressure vortexes can crack or even shatter the glass as the pressure is not divided evenly - adopting the ST design could help. Also putting an ion generator at the front can reduce the pressure (this is experimental at this time tho). The third is the air intake(s) (I'm assuming there is another one at the other side) - they extend outwards to the direction of the plain. Its a common design used, but in high speeds the fuel/air mixture can get little too thin especially on high altitudes and the engine can stall. As its a single engine flayer, this can be problematic - it could be reduced by making the intakes the shape of an egg, so the airflow can be regulated without the need to regulate fuel intake.

This design can have a lot of promise and could be adopted to near earth orbit/orbital flight. We are just an step away from actual commercial spaceflight technology. Anyone have a warp drive / antigrav / shield / antimatter reactor plans lying on their desk? Care to share them? :)

PS! If the suggestions here will be taken account on improving the HyFish give some credit to the author also ;)

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